Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 207.091949 240.431697 278.656272 325.996080 383.424352 451.309114 538.330877
2025-09-07 162.346461 204.146303 257.028823 329.874566 429.253873 562.541314 759.100023
2025-09-14 131.469368 173.950563 231.231717 315.945311 441.262715 625.214257 926.351727
2025-09-21 114.514306 157.854616 219.406835 315.983947 469.071050 712.299659 1150.059121
2025-09-28 102.623090 146.441217 211.485582 318.921330 499.982404 809.120051 1417.199385
2025-10-05 97.438202 143.802301 215.679946 340.655148 564.849830 977.488493 1870.630127
2025-10-12 92.236466 140.217600 217.523968 358.308948 625.797716 1154.194965 2409.285728
2025-10-19 84.421641 131.359873 209.327900 356.695843 650.134885 1264.984222 2846.615116
2025-10-26 79.798325 127.143416 208.283718 367.680466 701.151544 1445.569609 3536.839017
2025-11-02 74.942823 121.923340 204.698239 373.029432 741.394856 1613.495002 4278.435999
2025-11-09 70.836081 117.529827 201.986675 379.531011 785.432629 1804.032249 5195.164545
2025-11-16 66.336041 111.944345 196.335264 378.969967 813.035882 1961.141286 6099.800472
2025-11-23 61.735592 106.203751 190.647719 379.621385 849.593606 2172.966938 7431.533216
2025-11-30 57.934984 101.631727 186.839983 384.239470 899.085210 2449.295103 9310.693949
2025-12-07 52.565378 93.463752 174.695131 367.499311 887.622364 2531.425135 10415.866135
2025-12-14 49.325487 89.131216 169.961521 367.545686 923.138318 2788.636462 12712.318175
2025-12-21 46.716050 85.780239 166.875289 371.073299 970.099260 3112.280187 15852.901230
2025-12-28 46.048362 86.301335 172.264763 397.213206 1094.985356 3811.753496 22720.000459
2026-01-04 44.999927 85.904586 175.531327 418.494913 1212.445536 4566.105803 31914.219174
2026-01-11 42.519508 82.200030 170.694349 416.548537 1249.992799 4983.402251 39288.099651
2026-01-18 41.161005 80.802910 171.138337 429.809523 1347.816235 5779.576465 53517.389282
2026-01-25 39.511857 78.602479 169.369631 436.272780 1422.955300 6522.366246 70475.634066
2026-02-01 38.055615 76.701271 168.115434 444.133811 1507.453369 7403.652825 94611.504037